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Hurricane predictors: 9 hurricanes, 5 intense
Thursday, May 31, 2007 | No comments posted.
FORT COLLINS, Colo. (AP) - With the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season just a few hours away, researcher William Gray released his newest forecast today still showing an expectation for 17 major storms and nine hurricanes, five of them intense.
Gray, based at Colorado State University, described it as a very active season. He said there was a 74 percent chance of a major hurricane making landfall somewhere on the U.S. coast.
There is a 50 percent chance of a major hurricane making landfall on the East Coast, including the Florida Peninsula, according to the new forecast; the long-term average is 31 percent.
The chance of a major hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast between the Florida Panhandle and Brownsville, Texas, is 49 percent; the long-term average is 30 percent. There is also an above-average chance of a major hurricane making landfall in the Caribbean, according to the forecast.
Thursday's forecast was largely unchanged from Gray's last forecast, released in early April.
“We expect an above-average hurricane season,” said Phil Klotzbach, a member of Gray's team and lead author of the forecast.
The hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.
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On the Net:
http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu
Gray, based at Colorado State University, described it as a very active season. He said there was a 74 percent chance of a major hurricane making landfall somewhere on the U.S. coast.
There is a 50 percent chance of a major hurricane making landfall on the East Coast, including the Florida Peninsula, according to the new forecast; the long-term average is 31 percent.
The chance of a major hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast between the Florida Panhandle and Brownsville, Texas, is 49 percent; the long-term average is 30 percent. There is also an above-average chance of a major hurricane making landfall in the Caribbean, according to the forecast.
Thursday's forecast was largely unchanged from Gray's last forecast, released in early April.
“We expect an above-average hurricane season,” said Phil Klotzbach, a member of Gray's team and lead author of the forecast.
The hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.
---
On the Net:
http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu
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